CONTENTS Introduction Epidemiologic Studies Background Epidemiologic Studies Discussion Pathologic Studies Discussion Experimental Chemical Carcinogenesis Tumor Initiation and &carcinogens Organ-Specific Carcinogens Carbon Monoxide in Cigarette Smoke Smokers' Compensation Transplacental Carcinogenesis Flavor Additives Conclusions and Recommendations Summary References LIST OF FIGURES Figure l.-Lung cancer mortality ratios, by amount of "tar" and nicotine in cigarette smoke Figure 2.-Lung cancer mortality ratios, by number of cigarettes smoked per day and amount of "tar" and nicotine in cigarette smoke Figure 3.-Relative risks of lung cancer in long-term filter smokers (LTF) compared with nonfilter smokers (NF) by number of cigarettes smoked per day, males Figure I.-Decrease of be@a]pyrene in the smoke of U.S. nonfilter cigarettes (36 mm) Figure &-Percent of sections with advanced lesions by smoking habit in two periods LIST OF TABLES Table l.-American Cancer Society Matched Groups Study Table 2.-Known carcinogenic agents in the gas phase of cigarette smoke Table 3.-Tumor-initiating agents in the particulate phase of tobacco smoke Table I.-&carcinogenic agents in the particulate matter of tobacco smoke Table 5.-Organ-specific carcinogens in the particulate matter of cigarette smoke Table 6.-Carbon monoxide in smoke of cigarettes 78 lntroductlm Research indicates that cigarette smoking causes cancer of the lung, larynx, oral cavity, and esophagus, and is significantly associated with pancreas, urinary bladder, and kidney cancer in both men and women (102, 108, 104. This conclusion is based on epidemiologic, pathologic, and experimental evidence collected over the past half-century. A quarter-century ago lung cancer was found to be related quantitatively to cigarette "tar" cumulatively inhaled. This finding, along with much other evidence, led to the production and widespread use of today's lower "tar" and nicotine cigarettes.2 The evidence summarized in this section demonstrates that lower "tar" and nicotine cigarettes produce lower rates of lung cancer than do their higher "tar," higher nicotine predecessors, but smokers of lower "tar" and nicotine cigarettes still have much higher cancer morbidity and mortality rates than do nonsmokers, as well as a higher incidence of other diseases associated with smoking. One important research concern is to identify the human carcinogen- ic chemical or chemicals in the particulate and gas phases of cigarette smoke. Multiple metabolic transformations are available in the human body for the several thousand chemicals in cigarette smoke, a number of which could lead to carcinogenic activity in model animal systems. Another important research concern is that changes in cigarette composition to reduce "tar," nicotine, and possibly even total smoke exposure may inadvertently increase, or fail to decrease, those chemical constituents still largely unidentified that contribute to cardiovascular and pulmonary diseases, pregnancy complications, and fetal and perinatal deaths. A third area of concern is that the animal model systems used to predict human disease from cigarette smoking require additional study and correlation with the human situation, if these models are to serve as a basis for modifying cigarette composition. When disease-produc- ing chemicals are identified, their reduction or elimination should be associated in the animal models with a decrease in the disease(s) predicted and without untoward effects. This section summarizes data on the human cancers associated with lower "tar" and nicotine cigarettes, as compared with the "standard" cigarette of the 1939s or 1949s. In addition, it compares pathologic (autopsy) studies on bronchi of cigarette smokers of a quartercentury ago with bronchi of lower "tar" and nicotine cigarette smokers. Further, the section describes the identification, metabolism, and possible mechanisms of action of certain carcinogenic chemicals in both the particulate and the gas phases of cigarette smoke. Finally, the 79 section presents a series of conclusions and recommendations for research. Epldemlologic Studies Background It has been established that cigarette smoking causes cancer of various organs including the lung, oral cavity, esophagus, and larynx, as well as exhibiting a significant association with cancer of the pan- creas, bladder and kidney (102). Epidemiological studies, both retrospec- tive and prospective, have shown a dose-response effect; that is, risk increases with the length of time the individual has smoked and with the number of cigarettes consumed. Such studies have demonstrated that, upon cessation of the smoking habit, risk for developing these cancers declines; the slope of the decline depends on the duration and extent of the former habit. For an individual who has smoked more than 20 cigarettes per day for more than 20 years, no reduction in risk of cancer development is noted for at least 3 years; however, the risk decreases thereafter and, after 10 years of cessation, begins to approach that of one who has never smoked. From these epidemiological observations, it has been predicted that a smoker's caner risk would be reduced if the "tar" yield of a cigarette were reduced, provided that the individual does not compensate by more frequent and deeper inhalation of lower "tar" cigarettes. The trend toward cigarettes with lower "tar" and nicotine started more than 25 years ago with the introduction of a number of filter brands. This trend continued over the years with a greater number of filter brands on the market. Since the early 1970s there has been a rapid increase in production of cigarettes with 15 mg or less "tar" and 1.0 mg or less nicotine. By 1930, brands with these characteristics are expected to account for more than 40 percent of total sales (70). In 1950, the average cigarette had 40 mg "tar" and 2.2 mg nicotine. Today's filter cigarettes average about 14 mg "tar" and 1.0 mg nicotine. The downward trend, particularly in terms of "tar" in filter cigarettes, is continuing. There are increasing numbers of cigarettes yielding 10 mg "tar" or less, and these have only one-fourth the "tar" yields common 30 years ago. Although total consumption has increased from 365 billion cigarettes in 1950 to 620 billion cigarettes in 1979, consumption per capita by persons 18 years of age and over has decreased by 5 percent in recent years-from 4,143 cigarettes in 1973 to 3,924 cigarettes in 19'79 (101), reflecting the 30 million smokers who have quit (75). On the other hand, the proportion of smokers who reported that they smoke 26 or more cigarettes per day increased from 23 percent in 1970 to 28 percent in 1978. Epidemiologic Studies Three epidemiologic studies-by the American Cancer Society, the American Health Foundation, and the National Cancer Institute- have evaluated the effect of lower "tar" and nicotine cigarettes on lung cancer mortality. The American Cancer Society conducted a prospective study in which more than a million men and women in 25 States were enrolled in 1959 and traced for 13 years. Subjects completed a questionnaire on smoking habits upon enrollment, and the survivors completed another questionnaire in 1965. An analysis of mortality from lung cancer was made for two 6-year periods: July 1960 to June 1966 and July 1966 to June 1972. The analysis included males and females who, in 1959-69 and in 1965, reported either that they had never smoked regularly or that they smoked cigarettes regularly but never smoked cigars or pipes regularly (36). On each questionnaire, subjects reported the brand that they usually smoked. From this information and from various reports of "tar" and nicotine published in the years in which the questionnaires were completed, subjects were classified as high "tar" and nicotine (T/N) smokers, medium T/N smokers, and low T/N smokers. In the first period, high T/N brands were defined as cigarettes with 26.8 or more mg of "tar" and 2.0 or more mg of nicotine. Low T/N was defined as brands with less than 17.6 mg "tar" and less than 1.2 mg nicotine. The medium T/N category was between these two groups. By the time the second questionnaire was distributed, there had been an increase in the number of filter brands on the market and a general lowering of T/N levels. Low T/N was defined in the same way as in the first period, but the high T/N category had to be reset at a somewhat lower level. Smokers in the three groups were compared by a matched groups analysis. In this procedure, the groups were matched by age and other factors, including number of cigarettes smoked per day, age at which smoking began, race, urban or rural residence, occupational exposures, education, income, and prior history of lung cancer or heart disease. To be counted in the study, at least one person in each of the three T/N groups had to be matched on all the variables mentioned above. The adjusted number of lung cancer deaths was obtained by dividing the number of deaths in each triad by the lowest number in each of the three groups. The adjusted numbers of deaths were then summarized for each of the three T/N groups. Table 1 shows the number of subjects and the unadjusted and adjusted number of lung cancer deaths in the high, medium, and low T/N groups by sex and time period. In both sexes, deaths were fewest in the low T/N group. Figure 1 shows the lung cancer mortality ratios based upon the adjusted number of lung cancer deaths. The number of adjusted deaths for high T/N smokers was set at 1.00, and the adjusted number of lung 81 TABLE I.-American Cancer Society Matched Groupa Study fw Medium LQW sex Period T/N T/N T/N Male Male Female Female Male l960-l666 567 466 166 Mele 1666-1672 437 666 7s Female 1960-1966 66 82 al Female 1%&1972 89 149 44 Male 196&11)86 l22.4 117.4 lOL0 Awe 196&1m S.6 a.6 76.6 Female 1960-1966 4s.3 41.4 27.4 Female l9M-1972 68.1 42.2 lx2 SOURCE: Eemmoed et al. (ss). cancer deaths for medium and low T/N smokers was compared with it. The mortality ratio for male low T/N smokers was 0.83 and 0.79 in the two time periods; for females, it was 0.57 and 0.62. The mortality from lung cancer in low T/N cigarette smokers for both sexes over the combined time periods was 26 percent lower than for high T/N smokers. The mortality ratio for smokers of medium T/N cigarettes was lower than for high T/N, but greater than for the low T/N smokers. Low T/N smokers had mortality ratios considerably higher than men and women who had never smoked. In men, the mortality ratio of nonsmokers for lung cancer was only 9 percent of that of the low T/N smokers; in women, the nonsmoker rate was 49 percent as high in the fit 6-year period and 22 percent as high in the second 6year period. It is important to note that the T/N level of the brand of cigarettes smoked was not as significant as the number of cigarettes smoked. The adjusted number of deaths in men and women who smoked fewer than 20 high T/N cigarettes per day was compared with those who smoked 20 or more low T/N cigarettes per day. Figure 2 shows the mortality ratios. The less-than-2O-cigarettes-perday high T/N smokers had mortality ratios from 67 percent to 27 percent lower than the men and women who smoked 20 or more low T/N cigarettes per day. A retrospective study of lower "tar" and nicotine cigarettes was conducted by the American Health Foundation (111). Data on lung cancer cases in white males and females were collected, and interviews were conducted in hospitals in six U.S. cities between 1969 and 1976. Control cases were selected from patients in the same hospitals on the basis of an absence of a history of tobacco-related diseases. 82 Men Period1 Peliod2 1.00 1.00 women Period1 Period2 1.00 1.00 "TAR" AND NICOTINE IN CIGARETTE WOKE FIGURE l.-Lung cancer mortality ratios, by amount of "tar" and nicotine in cigarette smoke NOTE:H-hi&Y-msdnm;L-br. SOUBCE: lid at al. (se). Cigarette smokers were classified as long-term filter smokers (those who smoked filter cigarettes currently and for at least 10 years) and nonfilter smokers (current smokers of nonfilter brands). Relative risks for filter smokers and nonfilter smokers were computed by number of cigarettes smoked per day. Figure 3 shows the relative risk of the male filter smokers as a percent of the risk for nonfilter smokers. The percentages ranged from 61 to 39. Females showed the same pattern, with the relative risk for long-term filter smokers ranging from 33 to 79 percent of the nonfilter group. Only in the heaviest smoking category (a small number of cases) ware the relative risks the same. This risk ratio of filter smokers to nonfilter smokers remained low when the data were adjusted for factors such as duration of smoking, amount of cigarette smoking, age, and alcohol consumption. The American Health Foundation study also analyzed the risk of larynx cancer for long-term filter smokers versus that for nonsmokers. There were many fewer cases of larynx cancer than of lung cancer, but the same general pattern was observed. In men, the relative risk for long-term filter smokers was between 50 percent and 75 percent of the 83 Perk41 1.00 Park42 20+ <20 A DAY A DAY LOW HIQH TIN TIN 20+ <20 A DAY A DAY LOW HIQH TIH TIN 20+ <20 20+ <2tl A DAY A DAY A DAY A DAY LOW HIQH LOW HIQH TIN TIN TIN TIN FIGURE t.-Lung cancer mortality ratios, by number of cigarettes smoked per day and amount of "Yar" and &tine in cigarette smoke mJEcE: Elelemd et al. (.3@. risk for nonfilter smokers in various number-of-cigarettmoked-per- day categories. Women showed the same pattern. A third epidemiologic study was conducted in Austria (63). This project, part of an international study of smoking by the National Cancer Institute, analyzed data on a sample of 414 lung cancer patients and 823 controls. Cigarettes were categorized into three groups by T/N level: Group I, cigarettes with "tar" yields below 15 mg; Group II, 15 to 24 mg "tar"; and Group III, 25 mg or more "tar." These groups were assigned values of 1, 2, and 3, respectively, to indicate average exposure. The average "tar" exposure in cancer patients (2.596) was signifi- cantly higher than for controls (2.026). Scores for total "tar" exposure were computed as the product of the number of cigarettes smoked per day, the number of years smoked, and the "tar" level (1, 2, or 3). 84 LTF NF LTF Ns LTF NF LTF NF LTF NF l-10 11-20 21-30 314 41 + AMY AMY A DAY AMY A DAY FIGURE 3 I.-Relative risks of hmg cancer in long-term filter smokers (LTF) compared with nonfilter smokers (NF) by number of cigarettes smoked per day, ndea SOUIOCIE: wyedw aed &elhM (my Relative risks were then computed by these scores. These risks increased directly with "tar" exposure scores, from 1.6 for scares lower than 566 to a relative risk of 6.1 for scores higher than 5,600. Cigarette smoke condensate of present cigarettes pro&as fewer tumors on mouse skin than did that of cigarettes tested some 30 yeam ago (109). This difference is probably because today's cigarettes contain more tobacco stems and more reconstituted tobaccos and have cigarette paper with higher porosity, all contributing to smoke condensate that is less tumorigenic to the experimental animal. Changes in chemical composition of the smoke may be a factor. Using just one chemical component as a carcinogenic indicator, researchers have shown that benzo[ajpyrene (BaP) content is significantly lower in today's cigarettes than in cigarettes of 36 years ago (Figure 4) (49). 85 r 12- E 1.0- E 8 & ? 0.6- % P 0.6 - I I I I I I 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1960 YEARS OF PURCHASE FIGURE 4.-Decream of benzo[a]pyrene in the smoke of U.S. nonfilter cigadtm (&I!5 mm) SOUECE: Hoffmule std. (4s). Many brands of cigarettes classified as lower "tar" and nicotine were introduced in the 1970s and had a remarkable growth in sales. The average "tar" in lower "tar" and nicotine brands in 1978 was about 10 mg. Many brands of cigarettes classified as lower "tar" and nicotine in studies reported in the 1960s and early 1970s would be classified as medium "tar" and nicotine cigarettes in the 1980s. Therefore, it might be assumed that cigarettes with lower "tar" and nicotine yields afford even lower cancer risks. But this is not necessarily true. Studies of smoking patterns suggest that smokers of the lower "tar" and nicotine cigarettes tend to inhale more deeply (44,98), have higher amounts of carboxyhemoglobin than predicted (106), and have higher than expe& ed carbon monoxide in their exhaled breath (54). On the other hand, the lower "tar" and nicotine cigarettes of 1980 have as little as one- fourth the "tar" and nicotine of the cigarettes of 1950, and even if some compensation takes place, actual net smoker exposure is probably much lower. There is evidence that machines that measure "tar" and nicotine content are not suitable for measurements of smoke from lower "tar" and nicotine cigarettes with perforated filter tips (62) and that the 86 "tar" and nicotine in the inhaled smoke may be more than indicated by the test proc43dures. Epidemiological studies thus far have only studied cohorts who began their smoking careers with the old nonfilter, high "tar" and nicotine cigarette. Only in the years to come can we determine the risk of those individuals who began smoking with lower "tar" and nicotine cigarettes, and it is important to study this risk. As the "tar" yields of cigarettes decrease further, it is probable that flavor additives will be increasingly used. Their potential biologic activities need to be investigated and monitored on an ongoing basis. Epidemiological data in addition to chemical and biological findings show the reduced risk among lower "tar" and nicotine cigarette smokers, which was predicted because of chemical and biological data previously known. No such clear demonstration of effect exists, however, for cardiovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary dii, or pregnancy. The character and mechanisms of smoke components causing these diseases probably differ significantly from those acting in carcinogenesis. Pathologic Studier Histological changes in the tracheobronchial tree in noncancer patients can be observed at autopsy in direct proportion to the number of cigarettes smoked per day during life. Lung cancer patients have the most advanced histological changes in their remaining epithelium (4, 6). Ex-smok ers who quit for at least 5 years show greatly reduced histologic changes. This finding, together with the observation of cells with disintegrating nuclei in the epithelial lining, suggests that a healing process has taken place in these cases (5). To evaluate the effect of smoking lower "tar" and nicotine cigarettes on histologic changes in bronchial epithelium, male patients who died of causes other than lung cancer in 1970-77 were compared with those who died in 195569 (3). None of the men who died in the later period could have, in the last 5 to 10 years of their lives, smoked cigarettes that were as high in "tar" and nicotine content as the cigarettes smoked by men who died in the earlier period. Sections from the tracheobronchial tree of 211 men who died in the earlier period and of 234 men who died in the later period were put in random order for microscopic study. A total of 20,424 sections were read, an average of 46 sections per patient. Histologic changes studied included basal cell hyperplasia, loss of cilia, and occurrence of cells with atypical nuclei. Smokers had these changes far more frequently than did nonsmokers, and within each group the percent with these changes increased with the reported number of cigarettes smoked per day. Nonsmokers in both time periods had about the same proportion of these changes. But in each smoking category (adjusted for age), the men who died in 1970-77 87 NEVER